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	<title>ALIVE East Bay &#187; Damien Couture</title>
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		<title>Five Tenets for Investing</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/columns/five-tenets-for-investing/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/columns/five-tenets-for-investing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Jan 2012 19:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[COLUMNS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Watch]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=9561</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As Yogi Berra taught us; “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” We are living through some tumultuous times. The world gorged on debt and times were good. Now we are paying the price for this excess and are in the midst of a painful worldwide de-leveraging process. Nobody knows how long this economic ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As Yogi Berra taught us; “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” We are living through some tumultuous times. The world gorged on debt and times were good. Now we are paying the price for this excess and are in the midst of a painful worldwide de-leveraging process. Nobody knows how long this economic malaise will last. Should we be pessimistic or optimistic? Time will tell. Nonetheless, I feel strongly that betting against the progress of human history and innovation has always proven to be a losing proposition over the long run. Yes, in the short run, there are times to be cautious. The last five years confirm that. But circumstances change. Markets and economies are cyclical. Economic growth and positive investment returns follow contraction and investment losses just as day follows night.</p>
<p>So how do we invest in this crazy world and keep our sanity? There is really no secret or magic formula. Below are some fundamental guidelines for investing that I believe can guide you through any type of market. The information age we live in has made investing more complicated and confusing than ever. Individual investors are bombarded with an information overload on a daily basis. My advice is to turn down this “white noise” by doing the following:</p>
<p>Know and keep your objectives in place, only altering them when circumstances force a change. Consider adhering to my <strong>Five Tenets for Investing</strong>:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Invest with a plan.</strong> Sounds basic enough but have a specific plan and time frame for your money.</li>
<li><strong>Diversify.</strong> Invest globally and maintain exposure to a variety of asset classes.<strong></strong></li>
<li><strong>Invest with a professional.</strong> Get some help. A professional can help you put a plan together to reach your goals and manage risk. More importantly, a professional cam help take the emotion out of investing by injecting some rational thinking and perspective. This is crucial during downturns.<strong></strong></li>
<li><strong>Invest continually.  </strong>Up or down markets, keep reinvesting and adding to those accounts.<strong></strong></li>
<li><strong>Have patience.</strong> Probably the most important tenant of all. The biggest pitfall I see for investors of all ages is not sticking to their plan. Too often, investors change the direction of long-term plans by making short-term decisions based on emotion. Decide if you are an “investor” or a “trader.” Investing should only be undertaken with a long-term time horizon.</li>
</ol>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a Certified Financial Planner™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP<sup>® </sup>and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic stability and differences in accounting standards. Not all recommendations are suitable for all investors. Each investor must consider their own goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.  Your comments are welcome.  Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>2012 &#8211; Will the Tug of War Continue?</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/2012-will-the-tug-of-war-continue/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/2012-will-the-tug-of-war-continue/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Dec 2011 18:35:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[January 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=9123</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don’t believe we can think about what 2012 might hold for us without first reviewing what took place during 2011. It seems we have been caught in a tug of war of sorts between positive and negative forces over the last several months and it is likely that this tug of war is not ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don’t believe we can think about what 2012 might hold for us without first reviewing what took place during 2011. It seems we have been caught in a tug of war of sorts between positive and negative forces over the last several months and it is likely that this tug of war is not over and will continue well into 2012.</p>
<p>First let’s look at the positive side. Despite all the negative sentiment out there, it is not all bad news when it comes to the economy and the financial markets. I would consider some of the following as positives to keep in mind:</p>
<ul>
<li>The U.S. economy has been fairly resilient and it does not appear that we will slide back into recession.</li>
<li>We have a very accommodating monetary policy. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates low for a considerable period of time.</li>
<li>Corporate earnings continue to be very strong.</li>
<li>Stock valuations appear very attractive by many measures. P/E Ratios are at the low end of their range the last 20 years. Many high quality stocks pay dividends that are higher than long-term Treasury bonds.</li>
<li>As of this writing in early December, retail sales have been strong during the holiday season.</li>
<li>Nobody is buying stocks. According to ICI data, investors have pulled money from equity funds for seven straight months. Fund flows tend to be a pretty good contrarian indicator. When everybody is buying stocks they are usually headed for a fall and periods of outflows tend to be indicative of market bottoms.</li>
</ul>
<p>But don’t get too excited. There are a number of negatives counterbalancing the positives:</p>
<ul>
<li>The European debt crisis is far from over. It will almost certainly throw Europe into a recession this year and it poses a severe threat to the banking system.</li>
<li>The majority of the developed world countries have massive debt issues and an aging demographic problem.</li>
<li>2012 is an election year and we already have a massive amount of political discord and uncertainty. The super committee was a total failure.</li>
<li>Unemployment is expected to stay high. Even though the U.S. economy is growing, we are simply not growing fast enough to create enough net new jobs to solve the problem.</li>
<li>The Fed, as well as other central banks worldwide, may be running out of options to combat our economic malaise.</li>
</ul>
<p>Nobody knows for sure how all this will play out. Maintain balance in your portfolios. Stay diversified. Most importantly, stay patient. It may take a while for this tug of war to end.</p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Not all recommendations are suitable for all investors. Each investor must consider their own goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</em><a </p>
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		<title>Rethinking Retirement</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/rethinking-retirement/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/rethinking-retirement/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Dec 2011 18:37:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[December 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=8841</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is no secret that the investment landscape has changed significantly over the last few years. We are witnessing a sea change to many of the traditional investing principals of years past. The financial markets are more dependent than ever on the coordinated actions of policymakers around the world. No longer can we totally rely ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is no secret that the investment landscape has changed significantly over the last few years. We are witnessing a sea change to many of the traditional investing principals of years past. The financial markets are more dependent than ever on the coordinated actions of policymakers around the world. No longer can we totally rely on fundamental company and economic analysis to make investment decisions. These can still be valuable, but pale in comparison to the role governments around the world are taking in trying to get the policy decisions correct. In this environment, economic growth and investment returns are expected to be below their long term averages for the foreseeable future. With all this going on, now is an important time to rethink your retirement plans.</p>
<p>Many consumers planned on their home values being a significant contributor to their retirement. This is not going to happen for most. The combined effect of lower housing values, investment declines, longer life expectancies and the prospect of low returns going forward make this a real game changer when it comes to retirement. Most consumers are going to have to work longer, save more&#8230;a lot more, and be more realistic about their spending and rates of withdrawal during retirement.</p>
<p>Working a few more years can have a tremendous impact on your long term retirement success. Every extra year you work is one less year you have to support yourself in retirement and one more year of additional savings toward retirement, a powerful double whammy. If the rates of return on our retirement savings are going to be below average then we simply will need to save more. Consider a simple example; assuming you could earn a static 6% annual rate of return you would need to save $1,021 per month for 30 years to accumulate $1 million in a tax-deferred account, like an IRA or 401(k). A 20-year period would require you to save $2,195. Better get going!</p>
<p>So let’s assume you accumulate a $1 million. Great! That’s a lot of money. But how much income will that reasonably provide someone during a 25-30 year retirement? Less than most think. The general consensus among financial advisors is that retirees should plan on a portfolio withdrawal rate of 4% to 5%. This is the percentage of the portfolio’s value that is withdrawn in the first year of retirement. The amount is also assumed to be increased each year for inflation. So, if you have $1,000,000 saved you can reasonably expect to have that account support a draw of $40,000 to $50,000 per year plus inflation for a 25 to 30 year retirement period. Doesn’t seem like much does it? We all need to rethink retirement!</p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a Certified Financial Planner™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP<sup>® </sup>and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Not all recommendations are suitable for all investors. Each investor must consider their own goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</em><a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com"></a></p>
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		<title>Attractive Opportunities in Emerging Market Bonds</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/attractive-opportunities-in-emerging-market-bonds/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/attractive-opportunities-in-emerging-market-bonds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Nov 2011 14:00:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[November 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=8471</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We are all too familiar with the economic headwinds facing the U.S. and Europe. The larger, more mature economies of the U.S. and Europe are being held back by low growth, high unemployment, housing downturns and massive deficits.  Most economists don’t see this changing much in the coming quarters. The consensus seems to be that the possibility ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We are all too familiar with the economic headwinds facing the U.S. and Europe. The larger, more mature economies of the U.S. and Europe are being held back by low growth, high unemployment, housing downturns and massive deficits.  Most economists don’t see this changing much in the coming quarters. The consensus seems to be that the possibility of a recession has risen. Barring a recession, most pundits predict slow growth as their best case scenario.  So how do we invest in this environment? I would suggest investors take a look at emerging market bonds.</p>
<p>The economic outlook for many of the smaller, less developed economies – the so called emerging markets &#8211; is much different.  hese regions have much better growth rates, trade surpluses, favorable demographics and lower deficits.  This economic outperformance is expected to continue. One byproduct of this better economic backdrop is a favorable bond market environment. In countries like Brazil, Chile, Mexico, South Korea and Australia, to name a few, interest rates are higher and real yields (average bond yields minus inflation) are positive. The currencies of these more dynamic economies are also expected to appreciate against the U.S. dollar, the euro and the British sterling.<sup>1</sup></p>
<p>Contrast that with the bond market here in the U.S. and Europe. We have record low interest rates on our government bonds and real yields have turned negative in 2011.<sup>1</sup> These low yields point to an environment of very low returns on government bonds going forward. In addition, our massive deficits most likely will necessitate a decline in currency valuations over time  In short, not a lot on the upside going forward.&nbsp;</p>
<p>In summary, the economic conditions here in the U.S. and Europe are expected to languish. But this is not true everywhere. Yet, many investors do not have any international bond exposure. I would take a look at the composition of your bond allocations.  Consider overweighting the bond markets and currencies of the faster growing emerging markets and reducing exposure to bonds in U.S. and European markets. Be sure to look for bonds that are un-hedged to the U.S. dollar. In this environment you want the currency exposure for additional appreciation potential.</p>
<p>1.Wells Fargo Funds Management, Investment Perspectives, International Fixed Income, 10-2011<em> </em><br />
<em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a Certified Financial Planner™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP<sup>® </sup>and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, Political and economic stability and differences in accounting standards. Not all recommendations are suitable for all investors. Each investor must consider their own goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.  Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Class in Back in Session: Did you learn from 2008?</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/class-in-back-in-session-did-you-learn-from-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/class-in-back-in-session-did-you-learn-from-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Oct 2011 19:09:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[October 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=8039</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here we go again. Extreme market volatility has come back to the markets over this summer. Unfortunately, we have had to endure yet another nasty and rapid decline in the world’s stock markets. Fear and pessimism once again are dominating the headlines. With all of this going on, I believe that now is a good ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here we go again. Extreme market volatility has come back to the markets over this summer. Unfortunately, we have had to endure yet another nasty and rapid decline in the world’s stock markets. Fear and pessimism once again are dominating the headlines. With all of this going on, I believe that now is a good time to ask ourselves how well we learned our lessons from 2008.</p>
<p>Probably the biggest lesson from 2008 is to keep your emotions in check. Many investors sold in a panic when stocks were at their lows back in late 2008 and the beginning of 2009. Sadly, many are doing the same thing right now. I have been in this business for over 20 years and have seen my share of bear markets. During this time, I have never seen a client get it right when it comes to market timing during a downturn. Those who get out may miss the absolute bottom, however, they never get back in until after the market rallies and is at a higher level than when they exited. In every case, missing all or a portion of the rebound resulted in them having less money in their accounts down the road. As generic as it sounds, staying the course does prove to be an effective strategy over the long term.</p>
<p>A recent study of 401(k) participants by mutual fund giant Fidelity Investments confirms this point. The study concluded that investors who sold equities during the market volatility in 2008 and 2009 did worse than those who stayed in stocks. The study showed that 401(k) participants who dumped stocks from October 1, 2008 to March 31, 2009 (when the S&#038;P 500 dropped 31%) and had not returned to equities as of June 30, 2011, had an average account balance increase of just 2%. Those that maintained some equity allocation in their accounts during the same period saw their balances rise 50% on average.1 Even a temporary exit from the market was enough to damage future account values. Participants who exited the stock market completely, but then returned to some level of equity allocation after the market decline, saw an average account balance increase of only 25%.2 </p>
<p>So here we are today confronted with the same type of uncertainty and fear as before. The question is; did we learn anything from 2008? No doubt we have some serious headwinds facing our economy. Now, however, is not the time to panic out of the stock market. If you plan to reduce you stock exposure, do it later, after the markets recover, not now in the midst of a downturn. Exiting stocks during a downturn has proven over and over again to be a losing proposition.<br />
<em><br />
1.	Bloomberg, Selling Burns 401(k) Investors Who Dumped Stocks, Fidelity Says, 8-18-2011<br />
2.	U.S. News &#038; World Report, Planning to Retire, 401(k) Savers Who Stuck to Stocks Saw Gains, 8-19-2011</p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. The Standard &#038; Poor’s 500 (S&#038;P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. You cannot invest directly in an index. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Not all recommendations are suitable for all investors. Each investor must consider their own goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Financial Planning Week™ 2011</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/financial-planning-week%e2%84%a2-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/financial-planning-week%e2%84%a2-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Sep 2011 17:09:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[September 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=7713</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What to do now? Does the challenging economy and volatile markets have you searching for answers? Now more than ever, consumers should take the time to improve their financial knowledge in order to make better financial decisions. That is what Financial Planning Week™ is all about. The Financial Planning Association (FPA®) is excited to be ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What to do now? Does the challenging economy and volatile markets have you searching for answers? Now more than ever, consumers should take the time to improve their financial knowledge in order to make better financial decisions. That is what Financial Planning Week™ is all about. The Financial Planning Association (FPA®) is excited to be celebrating the tenth annual Financial Planning Week™, October 3-9. During this week, the FPA® strives to build public awareness of the financial planning process, enabling individuals to make prudent financial decisions to achieve their life goals and dreams.</p>
<p>The FPA® is a non-profit member organization that believes that everyone is entitled to objective advice from a competent, ethical financial planner to make smart financial decisions. We have one of the strongest chapters in the nation right here in our own backyard. Our local chapter, The FPA® of the East Bay, has a membership of over 400 local financial professionals representing some of top financial planning minds in the Bay Area. Our members demonstrate a professional commitment to education and a client-centered financial planning process.</p>
<p>The FPA® offers some excellent resources to consumers. Please visit www.fpaforfinancialplanning.org and explore some of the free resources available that include: Find a Planner – The FPA offers consumers an easy way to search for a CFP® professional in their area. Ask a Planner – Use the Ask a CFP® professional hotline to ask a general personal finance question by email. Free Literature – The FPA offers a number of free brochures on a variety of personal finance topics. Career Center – The FPA provides a wealth of information for those interested in a career in financial planning.</p>
<p><strong>20 Ways to Celebrate Financial Planning Week</strong></p>
<ul>
<li> Balance your checkbook</li>
<li>  Make a monetary contribution to your favorite charity</li>
<li>  Start a savings account for a child, vacation or a gift for yourself</li>
<li>  Help teach your children how to save and spend wisely</li>
<li>  Get your estate in order: Create or revise your will and other estate-planning documents</li>
<li>  Call your financial planner and share your appreciation for their service</li>
<li> Pay off a credit card</li>
<li>Get a head start on college — investigate college planning options</li>
<li>Establish an emergency fund</li>
<li>Evaluate your employee benefits and begin planning for open enrollment</li>
<li>Develop your holiday spending budget</li>
<li> Plan for year-end tax strategies</li>
<li>Purchase a session with a financial planner for a relative, friend or colleague</li>
<li>Give a relative, friend or colleague a subscription to a personal finance magazine</li>
<li>Invite a financial planner to speak at your workplace</li>
<li>Review your insurance coverage</li>
<li>Write down your financial goals and revisit them periodically</li>
<li>Start using personal finance software to help you better understand your money</li>
<li>Look up three financial terms that have baffled you and resolve to understand them</li>
<li>Talk to a relative about their plans for long-term care</li>
</ul>
<p>Financial Planning Week™ is an excellent time to asses your own personal finances and to discover the value of financial planning. I strongly urge you to do one of the things on the list above and visit the site to take advantage of the free, objective content made available by the Financial Planning Association™. Happy Financial Planning Week™!</p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Not all recommendations are suitable for all investors. Each investor must consider their own goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com.</em><a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com"></a></p>
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		<title>The Rest of 2011 – Bad, Mediocre, Good or Great?</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/the-rest-of-2011-%e2%80%93-bad-mediocre-good-or-great/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/the-rest-of-2011-%e2%80%93-bad-mediocre-good-or-great/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Aug 2011 15:40:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[August 2011]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=7278</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Put me in the mediocre camp … but hey that’s not bad! The summer months have been marked by renewed talk of a recession. We have seen a pull back in the equity markets and some disappointing job reports. The housing market has continued to struggle as well. The European debt crisis refuses to go ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Put me in the mediocre camp … but hey that’s not bad! The summer months have been marked by renewed talk of a recession. We have seen a pull back in the equity markets and some disappointing job reports. The housing market has continued to struggle as well. The European debt crisis refuses to go away. For the last year or so it pops up, causes worry and then fades from the headlines only to pop up again. I am sure we have not heard the last of it. This string of disappointing news has prompted many economists to revise their economic forecasts downward. This comes on the heels of some very positive forecasts at the beginning of the year. In just a few short months the consensus view on the economy has gone from overly optimistic to overly pessimistic.</p>
<p>I believe that things are neither real bad nor very good right now. Our economy is most likely going to muddle through and continue to expand, but at a very slow rate. This expansion will continue to be propelled by exports, moderate consumer spending and some corporate spending. Continued high unemployment, a flat to down housing market and state and local government spending cuts will provide plenty of headwinds keeping our potential economic growth in check. While this is not the robust recovery everyone is looking for it is certainly better than another recession.</p>
<p>From an investment perspective, this environment may still provide positive returns.  Maintain good balance in your portfolio and be sure to continue to invest a large portion overseas in both the stocks and bonds. One of the most effective ways to gain global exposure is to invest in US multinational corporations that have high international sales.  As was the case in previous earnings seasons, the first quarter of 2011 results showed that US companies with a high percentage of international revenue posted more positive surprises than their more domestically oriented counterparts.1   </p>
<p>Stay the course and stay invested. A properly allocated, globally diversified portfolio should provide good results over time. The returns may very well end up being mediocre during some periods of time, but mediocre still beats the pants off cash or CDs paying next to nothing right now.</p>
<p>1.	Market Pulse, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, June 2011</p>
<p>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a Certified Financial Planner™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</p>
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		<title>Market Watch &#8211; Make Financial Planning Work for You</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/market-watch-make-financial-planning-work-for-you/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/market-watch-make-financial-planning-work-for-you/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jul 2011 12:37:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[July 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=6916</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We all realize that financial planning is important. Done correctly, a good financial plan can provide direction and meaning to your financial decisions. While I am sure most of you are familiar with the term “financial planning,” I thought I might take some time to flush out what it really is all about and provide ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We all realize that financial planning is important. Done correctly, a good financial plan can provide direction and meaning to your financial decisions. While I am sure most of you are familiar with the term “financial planning,” I thought I might take some time to flush out what it really is all about and provide some guidelines on how you can make the financial planning process work best for your situation. Regardless of whether you plan to do it yourself or use professional advice, this is information all consumers should be familiar with.</p>
<p>Put simply, financial planning is the process of meeting your life goals through proper management of your finances. Some of the more common life goals would include buying a home, paying for a child’s education or planning for retirement. As a CFP® professional, I follow a financial planning process of six steps as described by the CFP Board. These six steps allow you to asses where you are now financially and what you may need to do in the future to reach your goals. They include:</p>
<ol>
<li>Establishing and defining the client-planner relationship.</li>
<li>Gathering client data, including goals.</li>
<li>Analyzing and evaluating your financial status.</li>
<li>Developing and presenting financial planning recommendations and/or alternatives.</li>
<li>Implementing the financial planning recommendations.</li>
<li>Monitoring the financial planning recommendations.</li>
</ol>
<p>Always remember that you are the focus of the planning process. Therefore, the results you get from working with a financial planner or doing it yourself are largely dependent on your approach and commitment to the process. With that in mind here are some tips for getting the most out of the financial planning process:</p>
<ol>
<li>Set measurable financial goals. Be specific. Be realistic.</li>
<li>Understand the effect your financial decisions have on other financial issues.</li>
<li>Re-evaluate your financial situation periodically.</li>
<li>Start planning as soon as you can and start with what you’ve got.  Financial planning is not just for the wealthy.</li>
<li>Look at the big picture – financial planning is more than just retirement or tax planning.</li>
<li>Don’t confuse financial planning with investing.</li>
<li>Don’t expect unrealistic returns on investments.</li>
<li>Be patient – you cannot change your situation overnight. Financial planning is a life long process.</li>
</ol>
<p>There are many great resources available on financial planning, including some very informative free publications available from the FPA and the CFP Board. PPlease call or email me for a free copy or go online at <a href="http://fpanet.org" onclick="urchinTracker('/outgoing/fpanet.org?referer=');">fpanet.org</a> or <a href="http://CFP.net/learn" onclick="urchinTracker('/outgoing/CFP.net/learn?referer=');">CFP.net/learn</a></p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management.These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a></em></p>
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		<title>Market Watch &#8211; Time to Rebalance?</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/market-watch-time-to-rebalance/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/market-watch-time-to-rebalance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jun 2011 11:40:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[June 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=6780</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Investor optimism has greatly improved over the last two years and it is easy to see why. The world’s equity and commodity markets have enjoyed a dramatic charge upward since the darkest days of the financial crisis in late 2008 and early 2009. While such positive sentiment is by no means unanimous, optimism clearly has ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Investor optimism has greatly improved over the last two years and it is easy to see why. The world’s equity and commodity markets have enjoyed a dramatic charge upward since the darkest days of the financial crisis in late 2008 and early 2009. While such positive sentiment is by no means unanimous, optimism clearly has climbed and many investors have been chasing these strong returns by moving back into the equity markets and increasing exposure to hot investments like small cap stocks, emerging market stocks, precious metals and other commodities. This is hardly a surprise given the aforementioned strong period of gains. At that same time this new found comfort with so called “risk assets” may not be an entirely welcome development. I am still a believer in owning “risk assets” for the long term. However, I do think now would be a good time to see how the last two years of strong performance have changed the risk profile of your portfolio.</p>
<p>Markets are frequently most at risk of a decline when the majority of investors are feeling very comfortable. Changes in the level of investors’ optimism or pessimism towards the future can often be the cause of market volatility. When times are good the natural reaction to such strong gains may be to “let it ride” or even increase exposure to the things that have done the best. This can often times be detrimental to portfolio returns and risk level.  </p>
<p>A good example of this was in the year 2000. If you recall, there was very high levels of optimism about the future of the stock market. We were in a “new era” where the old rules regarding stock valuations did not apply. This elevated level of optimism tempted many investors to increase their allocations to stocks even though the monumental gains in the market had already done this for them. The “New Economy” train was leaving the station and you didn’t want to get left behind! We could say the same thing about the housing boom and bust we have experienced recently. Prior to the bust, investing in housing became much too popular and it felt like the good times where never going to end. As we now know, the greatest boom ever in housing ended with the biggest bust ever.  Presently, the love affair with precious metals seems to have gotten a bit too strong and, at this writing in early May, we are seeing a sharp correction in silver prices.</p>
<p>These examples illustrate the importance of reviewing your mix of assets from time to time. Rebalancing the mix back to an appropriate risk level will help an investor guard against being overexposed to asset classes that may have become overvalued. This is especially important at moments like now when we have had an extended run of positive returns in many types of investments. I do not advocate trying to time the market and I am not recommending you get out of top performers completely. My advice is to take some profits from the areas that have grown the most and reallocate those profits to the asset classes that have lagged.</p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk.  He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Your comments are welcome.  Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</p>
<p></em></p>
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		<title>There is Always Going to be Something to Worry About</title>
		<link>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/there-is-always-going-to-be-something-to-worry-about/</link>
		<comments>http://aliveeastbay.com/archives/there-is-always-going-to-be-something-to-worry-about/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 May 2011 12:50:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damien Couture</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Column]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[May 2011]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aliveeastbay.com/?p=6257</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earthquake in Japan, nuclear meltdown, tensions in the Middle-East, rising gas prices, high unemployment, soaring deficits, and the European debt crisis—wow, what an incredible list of things to worry about! Yet, the equity markets continued to move higher. How can this be? I would argue that seeing the market go up during times of worry ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Earthquake in Japan, nuclear meltdown, tensions in the Middle-East, rising gas prices, high unemployment, soaring deficits, and the European debt crisis—wow, what an incredible list of things to worry about!  Yet, the equity markets continued to move higher. How can this be?  I would argue that seeing the market go up during times of worry is nothing new. There has rarely been any period of time when there was not something going on in the world that made us worry.  As investors we need to accept these constant worries as a normal part of the human experience.  If your plan is to wait and get invested “when things calm down,” I am afraid you may be waiting a long, long time. We cannot let current events, no matter how awful they seem at the time; distract us from our long term investment plan. There is no disputing the fact that when a crisis hits it is scary. The markets generally will go down. Expect this. How we deal with it is the key.  We must remind ourselves during these scary times that a down market is an illusion. It never lasts. The markets have a very long and predictable record of recovering from crisis, making new highs and rewarding long term investors. That is as long as you don’t panic out during the downturn and let the emotions of the crisis get the better of you.</p>
<p>Change your focus. We can always take solace by focusing on what we are invested in. What is the market? What do you own behind the names of your funds and the numbers on your statements? When you have a globally diversified portfolio, you have ownership in the great companies of the U.S. and the world. Why would you ever want to sell these? Are all of the great companies of the U.S. and the world going to go out of business? Are all of the great businesses that provide goods and services to you, me and billions of people across the globe everyday going to become worthless? Of course not. There will be ups and downs. This is normal and can create opportunity. There will be times when certain asset classes are more attractively valued than others. Today, many countries are growing their economies at faster rates than others. These are the things that an investment professional can help you navigate.  </p>
<p>In the end, however, each investor must manage all the things there will always be to worry about. I don’t see the list getting shorter anytime soon. One of the greatest golfers of all time, Bobby Jones, once said, “Competitive golf is played mainly on a five-and-a-half-inch course…the space between your ears.”  I think he very could have been talking about investing as well.</p>
<p><em>Damien helps individuals invest and manage risk. He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and a principal of Walnut Creek Wealth Management. These are the views of Damien Couture, CFP® and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Your comments are welcome. Damien can be reached at 925-280-1800 x101 or <a href="mailto:Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com">Damien@WalnutCreekWealth.com</a>.</em></p>
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